O/U 2011: With a new look will we see new stats
- Updated: August 19, 2011
FINALLY it’s preseason preview time here at AppFan. We’re calling it Over/Under 2011. Every few days we’ll throw out our best guess estimate of a future stat, and you tell us why we’re wrong.
Tomorrow is the big Fan Fest scrimmage. And, as scheduled, we’re ready for our annual confliction.
But this year we may not be so conflicted. While everyone is hyped to see some DP-Quick goodness on the O, there will be plenty of attention given to the new look D.
3-4 is the new scheme. And, according to coach Moore, it fits like an Under Armour glove.
Moore said that the change to three down linemen and four linebackers fits his team’s personnel, with enough size up front and a multitude of linebacker candidates.
“We haven’t always had the depth that we have right now, but we’ve always had pretty good linebackers that can run,” Moore said. “Then you take a Lanston Tanyi for instance (who has moved from defensive end to outside linebacker), he can play defensive end, but he can run like a linebacker.”
“We think we’re as good up front as we’ve ever been,” Jones said. “We have depth there.”
The WSJ article drops some names, including freshman Ronald Blair, who “has moved in front of redshirt freshman Will Corbin (6-6, 300) at weak-side defensive end in the three-man front.”
The numbers sound good too. 6-4, 260. 6-1, 305. 6-6, 250. 6-5, 235. Looks like size and speed.
Over/Under – Yards allowed by the App State defense: 330.
The low-water mark for the defense the past four seasons is 318, which came during the 2009 year when the D looked lost early. (Remember McNeese State?)
The most porous season was 2007, when 380 yards were allowed per game. And still App State won a title.
Yet the past few seasons have seen much griping about the stopping of the ball, or lack there of. It’s been awhile since App has pitched a shutout. And though the D often doesn’t break but just bend, there’s been a lot of bending. Uh-lot.
Maybe the new assignments and new schemes will instill some new urgency. Or in the least confuse some league foes.
For that reason we’ll go under. We think the defense is hungry for some love.
Looking at the schedule, Va Tech will be formidable regardless of how the 11-man equation is stacked. But the following two weeks feature smaller, less heralded offenses before the point-happy Mocs come to town (31.5 pts a game last year)